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terça-feira, abril 26, 2005

the United States has fallen far behind Japan and other Asian states in deploying broadband and the latest mobile-phone technology....

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AMERICA may have been the birthplace of the internet, but it has now fallen behind its Asian rivals in the race to upgrade to high-speed broadband connections, with potentially devastating economic consequences. That is the bold claim made by Thomas Bleha, a former United States Foreign Service officer, in a much-discussed article in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs. In 2001-04, Mr Bleha notes, America fell from fourth to 13th place in global rankings of broadband internet usage. While George Bush focused on tax cuts and the war on terror, America's internet leadership was stolen by Japan and South Korea, where governments vigorously promoted the roll-out of very high-speed broadband connections—up to 40 megabits per second, compared with 1.5mbps or less in America. And America is even further behind in wireless broadband services on mobile phones. “These countries' progress will have serious economic implications,” Mr Bleha writes. “Japan and its neighbours have positioned themselves to be the first states to reap the benefits of the broadband era: economic growth, increased productivity, technological innovation and an improved quality of life.”
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Ultimately, Mr Bleha is a classic American techno-alarmist. In the 1980s, Cassandras worried about America's car industry; in the 1990s, the concern shifted to electronics. Sometimes, as with cars, the alarm is justified; in other cases the threat is overstated. In this case, Mr Bleha is criticising American policy before it has had time to produce results. Still, Mr Bleha is emerging as the technology industry's unlikely Luther, posing the right questions at a sensitive time. “I've stated my case,” he says. “We'll have to see whether it is overstated or not.”
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Prophet of American technodoom - From The Economist print edition

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Summary: Once a leader in Internet innovation, the United States has fallen far behind Japan and other Asian states in deploying broadband and the latest mobile-phone technology. This lag will cost it dearly. By outdoing the United States, Japan and its neighbors are positioning themselves to be the first states to reap the benefits of the broadband era: economic growth, increased productivity, and a better quality of life.

Thomas Bleha, the recipient of an Abe Fellowship, is completing a book on the race for Internet leadership. Previously, he was a Foreign Service officer in Japan for eight years.
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Foreign Affairs - Down to the Wire - Thomas Bleha

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